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Scout Report: Aston Villa

Scout Report: Aston Villa

Villa Away

So we dismissed the Tiny Tots from down the road with relative ease which was nice but we lost Theo for the rest of the season which was not so nice. A real pity that Theo is out as he was having some serious impact on the games he was playing and looking like he could go on a real goal scoring run not seen by an Arsenal player since Theo`s pre-contract signing heights of last season! Anyway, the one silver lining for him is that he will likely be around for the birth of his first child in June instead of being thousands of miles away playing a competition that will really only end one way for England. I find it startling how the English press talk up very average players (Townsend anyone?) into world class stars in time for the World Cup only to be all shocked when England`s inability to hold onto the ball for more than 5 seconds at a time is exposed by the first side of technical quality that they meet. Closer to the World Cup I`ll knock together a Scout Report of the English side but be forewarned; I wouldn`t be confident that there will be many positives to come out of Brazil for England. Still at least you lot are there, over here we paid a manager £2.5m per year not to qualify!

Forget all the talk about Theo being back playing in 4 months, we should count ourselves lucky if he is back jogging by early July and ready to pull on an Arsenal shirt by around the September timeframe. We have to just hope that this injury doesn`t rob him of his pace which, while not his only asset, is probably his main one. Maybe in the time off he can study to build up his football brain which despite scoring 21 goals last season some pundits still feel he quite clearly lacks!

Next up for us is Villa away and despite robbing 3 points from us in the opening game of the season, are a team that I`ve always had a soft spot for. Indeed, we may even look back when the season ends and actually thank Villa for that defeat, while polishing the League trophy, as it served as our own almost CTJ (coming to Jesus) moment acting as a shock for both the players and the manager into what was required to win games. It was 3 points lost but it seems that for a lesson learned it was money well spent.

While that game was the low point of our season it was most certainly the high point of theirs and both teams have gone on opposite directions since. They struggled last season and at one point I thought that there were really due for the drop but Lambert stuck with his relatively young squad and toughed it out eventually pulling to safety. I`d imagine many Villa fans were really expecting to kick on from that point, especially after beating us, but injuries and loss of form to key players have meant that while there are far worse teams then them out there they are still looking over their should and the sooner they reach the 40 point mark (currently on 23) the sounder they will sleep.

Formation wise they play a 4-3-3 formation, usually with 2 of the midfield 3 sitting deep which allows their front 3 to break with real pace. They are setup as a counter attacking side and on their day are a very dangerous team which we need to be fully switched on against. Guzman in goal is a solid keeper, a very good shot stopper (he`s played well against us on more than one occasion) but prone to lapses in concentration particularly under the high ball. The two centre back, Clark and Vlar (if he has a knock then Baker) are good without being anything special. At 24 Clark is young enough to suggest that there is the makings of a good defender in him but he needs to start making the step up and for me he doesn`t yet dominate the defence the way he should, he certainly has the talent and has shown his ability in patches but he is not there yet. Vlaar alongside him is also a good

individual player and is also the club captain. He`s a regular for Holland so he`s no mug and while Villa aren`t the worst defensive team in the league they do give up a lot of chances. Lowton and Luna (on the right and left back positions) are both solid young players who would likely look a lot better in a better team. They like to get forward, Luna in particular, and will support their counter-attacks when given the chance. The Villa back 5 as individuals is quite good and should be more solid than it actually is. I don`t know if its a coaching issue or style of play but for some reason they haven`t quite clicked and can be got at. They have let in 25 goals this season, 14 at home in 10 games so we will have chances against them.

In front of the backline Villa will likely play 3 of Delph, Westwood, El Ahmadi and Bacuna. Delph and Westwood seem to be getting the nod with one of the other two. Villa tend to play 2 deep sitting or defensive midfielders (similar to when we play Art and Flamini) and I cannot see them changing this against us. I think that whoever they play will try to harry and hassle us out of our stride and then move the ball forward quickly to the front three. Its not a style of football or approach to a game that we haven`t seen before and as long as we keep intensity and focus high we have the better quality of players that should tell on the pitch.

Their front 3 are all tricky players, with the speedy Agbonlahor and the very clever Weinman playing either side of either of an out of form Benteke or perhaps even Kozak. Agbonlahor seems to have been around for years but I was surprised to see he is only 27, on his day he can be a real handful and his speed is a real danger in the box, we have to be very careful putting in tackles on him because while he isn`t a serial diver he certainly goes down easily. Benteke is having a terrible season with only 4 league goals in 15 apprearences. 2 of those goals were against us, both penalties more or less and he has only scored one real goal from open play. His career has always suggested that there is a bit of an attitude problem there and to date he`s followed the Adebyeor model of one good season followed by pushing for a move and playing crap until it`s granted. He certainly has the ability but it would be a "no thank you" for me should he could available in the summer. Kozak, pretty similar scoring record, has stood in for Benteke while he was injured and he`s looked ok without setting the world on fire. I do like Weinman as a player, great work rate and only ever takes the ball one direction - towards goal. He`s only 22 and surely a move to a bigger club will be on for him soon?

Villa are sitting 11th in the table and while that`s on a par with where they finished last season they are only 6 points off the relegation zone. After us they face a tough run of games away to Liverpool and Everton and home to draw specialists West Brom so they are far from safe. One point from the next 12 is a real possibility for them and would spell serious trouble. 4 defeats from the last 7 league games in not good form for them and their home form is poor with only 2 wins all season.

With injuries our team almost picks itself, the back five is set. I`d go for Flamini in the middle with Jack and Ozil supporting a front 3 of Giroud, Santi and possibly Thomas R (the man making all us 30-somethings feel ashamed of our energy levels). Our midfield is a level or two above theirs and we owe them from that opening day. Don`t be surprised by Benteke upping his game against a team to whom he would fancy a move but also don`t be surprised with a rather comfortable Gunners win either.

Arsenal to win, 2-0.



Click here to join in the debate on the club forum.

Writer:Galway Gooner
Date:Saturday January 11 2014
Time: 3:06PM

Comments

0
Good report GG as always. On a side note do you look in depth at other teams throughout the season or just coming up to the game. I'm just wondering because hats off to you, like me I'd pigeon hole myself with that of many other football fans who only focusing on what is happening at their own team. 90% of the games I probably watch are Arsenal games and despite labelling myself a 'football fan' I don't really other teams play unless it is one of our immediate rivals playing each other or otherwise whats on in the pub! Because of that I find your reports quite handy for someone who like myself, can catch up on our opponents seasons and therefore blag my way in making others believe that I know more than I actually do! But then again I presume that most people I talk about football with do the same, and the pundits! Oh the pundits! I think it's a good thing to discuss because like pundits or otherwise people who support other teams talking about your team they may not always agree with you, mainly because they haven't seen as many of your teams games as you have and vice versa. I find that talking about another team other than Arsenal is really down to opinion so when someone says we're playing Aston Villa this weekend whilst I can name a few of there players (Benteke, Agbonlahor) I couldn't name there full team. And so I automatically go 'because of where they are in the league we will beat them' but that is mainly a educated guess. I suppose what i'm trying to get at here, and I hope i'm not rambling on but do you genuinely research and take note of each team throughout the season? Not that i'm going to judge you if you don't!
Nwankwo25
11/01/2014 17:07:00
0
But yeah, 2nil to the Arsenal aha!
Nwankwo25
11/01/2014 17:09:00
0
With our close rivals very likely going to win their games (Chelsea and Everton already won), the game takes on more significance and adds to the pressure to the players and fans. The fact they handed us that 1st defeat at home this season gives them something to play for and they would be up for it. We can't take this easy and need to retain the focus to ensure the win.
Naijagunner
11/01/2014 17:37:00
0
I'd say a reverse 3-1 to arsenal.
nna
11/01/2014 17:37:00
0
Hey Nwan kwo do answer your question is a combination of both watching in advance and a bit of research before the game. Glad you find them of use!
Galway Gooner
11/01/2014 19:18:00
0
An enjoyable and accurate assessment of the Villa team. Our home form is diabolical, Benteke can't score for love nor money...but I've learnt over the years that when you expect a certain result from Villa, they pretty much always do the opposite. 2-1 Villa, Benteke brace it is then!
olofthegreat
11/01/2014 22:25:00
0
Be careful not to sound too cocky as, ordinarily, this could end up a cricket score, the mood in which we are.
Naijagunner
12/01/2014 00:07:00
0
I've come over from vital villa, just interested to see what the Gooners think of us. Your analysis of our team is rather positive, with Weimann and Benteke both wildly off form there is nothing to worry about from your perspective, and Kozak has broken his leg which the author didn't seem to know about. As for our midfield, a severe and clear lack of ability is our biggest problem. Karim Al Ahmadi and Westwood add no creativity whilst being mediocre at best defensively. Delph on his day can look a decent player, maybe even an outside chance for the England squad (except hodgeson doesn't pick players outside the top 6), unfortunately Delph alone is not going to cause you problems. Due to our midfield we have struggled with basic passing (we have the 2nd lowest passing accuracy in the league) and keeping and winning possession (2nd lowest for average possession) it is not a shock any more to see us have less than 30% possession. A lack of confidence and ability has meant we resort to long ball football, probably because our midfield can't put 3 passes together anyway. Mark Benteke and make sure you don't commit too many players to the attack and you'll have stopped us dead. Defensively we are a lot tighter than last year, Vlaar is a solid defender while Clark or Baker aren't brilliant and a prone to mistakes we can actually keep clean sheets this season. Luna at left back, despite scoring on his debut against you guys, has been a disappointment and many teams have started to exploit our weakness on our left. I expect an easy win for Arsenal.
David-avfc
12/01/2014 00:52:00
0
I am finding it hard to see the connection between Villa's win at Emirates and the epiphany implied for manager and players on "what was required to win games." Outside of the acceptable unpredictability of any premier league game and indeed any sporting contest in general the incidence of unusual events during that game were enough to justify putting the blame elsewhere.
NYArse
12/01/2014 03:08:00
0
Good report, it's amazing how a fan can be so knowledgable about an opposition fan and for that sir, I commend you. I, too, would go for a 2-0, possibly 3-0 to Arsenal, as I think I can safely say our current midfield is more than just 1 or 2 levels below yours, and most in the Premiership to be fair. However, we've shown that we have got the ability to still get the ball to the strikers now and again, and if form swings around and they start playing like they should, Gabby and co could give Arsenal a run for their money.
Villahippo
12/01/2014 03:48:00
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